Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.171427 0.196684 0.225434 0.260807 0.303460 0.353621 0.417647
2025-05-18 0.131975 0.164317 0.205234 0.261752 0.339341 0.444499 0.602092
2025-05-25 0.108623 0.143370 0.190845 0.262448 0.371416 0.537690 0.825043
2025-06-01 0.092501 0.127603 0.178487 0.260775 0.397078 0.627332 1.080049
2025-06-08 0.080278 0.114672 0.166944 0.256455 0.415728 0.709862 1.361038
2025-06-15 0.073292 0.108143 0.163519 0.263708 0.455043 0.842071 1.815093
2025-06-22 0.065492 0.099061 0.154264 0.258564 0.469442 0.929587 2.222058
2025-06-29 0.060355 0.093516 0.149916 0.261176 0.499576 1.062783 2.849106
2025-07-06 0.055221 0.087282 0.143362 0.258105 0.516612 1.171957 3.498856
2025-07-13 0.051924 0.083784 0.141171 0.263230 0.553555 1.349661 4.573908
2025-07-20 0.049161 0.080883 0.139634 0.269343 0.594748 1.560756 6.061645
2025-07-27 0.046558 0.077968 0.137637 0.274013 0.633831 1.787844 7.997770
2025-08-03 0.044353 0.075616 0.136566 0.280940 0.682632 2.083689 10.982300
2025-08-10 0.041967 0.072680 0.133947 0.283793 0.721402 2.373045 14.756634
2025-08-17 0.039690 0.069726 0.130912 0.285066 0.756293 2.676331 19.765535
2025-08-24 0.037408 0.066543 0.126992 0.283347 0.781370 2.959616 25.919195
2025-08-31 0.035131 0.063161 0.122244 0.278589 0.794928 3.202337 33.043599
2025-09-07 0.033960 0.061938 0.122184 0.286652 0.857816 3.775633 50.208511
2025-09-14 0.031986 0.058867 0.117542 0.280943 0.867235 4.050899 64.734782
2025-09-21 0.030714 0.057178 0.115944 0.283843 0.912438 4.616105 96.262568
2025-09-28 0.029175 0.054793 0.112438 0.280434 0.930790 5.024106 132.516400
2025-10-05 0.028258 0.053685 0.111908 0.286125 0.991682 5.858455 221.640687
2025-10-12 0.027454 0.052758 0.111720 0.292917 1.061564 6.906496 404.870895